The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story that the mind has managed to construct. | Daniel Kahneman Continue reading Belief Coherence Daniel Kahneman
Understanding the world requires frameworks grounded in logic and evidence. Theories that align with observed facts and adapt to discoveries provide reliable explanations. By examining the principles of coherence and congruence, we can evaluate the validity and utility of ideas in explaining complex phenomena. Continue reading Congruence, Coherence, and Contingent Truth Building a framework for understanding
We often construct false narratives in complex situations to make the past seem predictable. This habit, called retrospective coherence, hides the actual uncertainty of past events. Understanding this bias allows us to see complexity more clearly and avoid oversimplifying decisions and outcomes. Continue reading Retrospective Coherence in a Complex World How oversimplified narratives distort the past and hinder decision-making