Abstract The aggregation of many independent estimates can outperform the most accurate individual judgment. This centenarian finding, popularly known as the ‘wisdom of crowds’, has been applied to problems ranging from the diagnosis of cancer to financial forecasting. It is widely believed that social influence undermines collective wisdom by reducing the diversity of opinions within … Continue reading Aggregated Knowledge From a Small Number of Debates Outperforms the Wisdom of Large Crowds Joaquin Navajas, Tamara Niella, Gerry Garbulsky, Bahador Bahrami and Mariano Sigman (December 2018)
How and why we reason | Hugo Mercier Hugo Mercier’s central question is: ‘Do we discuss with each other just to be right, or to actually reason with one another?’ Hugo states that we discuss to persuade others and to judge arguments. By listening to what others have to say, we can evaluate our own … Continue reading How and Why We Reason Hugo Mercier (2015)
Gurteen Knowledge Blog May 7, 2021, 15:34I recently came across a fascinating theory concerning the evolution of human reason known as “The Argumentative Theory of Human Reason”. However, I prefer to use the term “theory of social reasoning” or simply “social reasoning”. The theory proposes that the primary function of reason is not to improve our … Continue reading Social Reasoning The Argumentative Theory of Human Reason
London Knowledge Café Conversational Collective Intelligence: A New Kind of Democracy Date: Thursday 2nd May 2024 Time: 18:30 to 20:30 BST This is a free event. Please arrive at 6:00 pm or shortly after, allowing you time to settle in and meet other people. Light refreshments will be available. The Café will start promptly at … Continue reading Event: London Knowledge Café: Conversational Collective Intelligence – a New Kind of Democracy Thursday 2nd May 2024
The argumentative theory of reasoning proposes that reason did not evolve to help us to reason individually but to reason together – in other words, socially. Reasoning is generally seen as the process of thinking about something to help us come to better beliefs and decisions. However, there is substantial evidence that our reasoning process, … Continue reading The Argumentative Theory of Human Reason We did not evolve to reason individually but to reason socially
The wisdom of crowds is the concept that large groups of people are collectively smarter than individuals regarding problem-solving, decision-making, and predicting. However, the method can be improved with the wisdom of crowds of crowds. In the concept of the wisdom of crowds, individuals in a group are privately asked to answer a question, such … Continue reading Wisdom of Crowds of Crowds Crowds within a crowd outperform ‘wisdom of the crowd’