Gurteen Knowledge Blog June 29, 2022, 09:31It is hard enough to predict what might happen next year, never mind in 100 years, but what about one hundred quintillion years (that’s 100,000,000,000,000,000,000 years)? This fantastic infographic Timeline of the Far Future produced by BBC Future attempts to do just that. Given that the universe is 13.8 billion … Continue reading Timeline of the Far Future Predicting the next hundred quintillion years
Imagine that it is 1920 and you have somehow been granted absolute power to predict the future. You happen to visit the mayor of Rotterdam and, during that time, you describe in vivid detail what is going to happen to his town over the next 25 years. Thus, in an otherwise perfectly normal working day, … Continue reading Saving Rotterdam From Destruction Arie de Geus, 1999
Predicting the future is a fool’s errand, but we can help create it. We live in a complex socio-technical system — a VUCA world – a complex world that is volatile, uncertain, confusing, and ambiguous. One of the facets of a complex system is that it is inherently unpredictable, so these two quotations from Peter … Continue reading Predicting the Future Is a Fools’ Errand ** But we can help create it