an online book by David Gurteen
A hypothesis (pl.: hypotheses) is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon. A scientific hypothesis must be based on observations and make a testable and reproducible prediction about reality, in a process beginning with an educated guess. If a hypothesis is repeatedly independently demonstrated by experiment to be true, it becomes a scientific theory.
Credit: Wikipedia - hypothesisWhat’s the difference between an invisible, incorporeal, floating dragon who spits heatless fire and no dragon at all? If there’s no way to disprove my contention, no conceivable experiment that would count against it, what does it mean to say that my dragon exists? Your inability to invalidate my hypothesis is not at all the Continue reading Carl Sagan’s Dragon Carl Sagan
In a complex world, decisions should not be seen as endpoints but working hypotheses. Treating them as final closes conversation and hides doubt; holding them lightly keeps learning alive, surfaces risk, and allows us to adjust as reality unfolds. Decisions as HypothesesWhy decisions work better as hypotheses than conclusionsIn complex environments, nothing stands still. Time passes, conditions … Continue reading Don’t Treat Decisions as Final, Treat Them as Hypotheses Change Insight
In complex environments, nothing stands still. Time passes, conditions shift, and action alters what follows. Treating decisions as final closes conversation and hides doubt. Treating decisions as hypotheses keeps learning alive and allows adjustment as the world continues to change. Continue reading Decisions as Hypotheses Why decisions work better as hypotheses than conclusions
