Abstract The aggregation of many independent estimates can outperform the most accurate individual judgment. This centenarian finding, popularly known as the ‘wisdom of crowds’, has been applied to problems ranging from the diagnosis of cancer to financial forecasting. It is widely believed that social influence undermines collective wisdom by reducing the diversity of opinions within Continue reading Aggregated Knowledge From a Small Number of Debates Outperforms the Wisdom of Large Crowds Joaquin Navajas, Tamara Niella, Gerry Garbulsky, Bahador Bahrami and Mariano Sigman (December 2018)
Hugo Mercier’s central question is: ‘Do we discuss with each other just to be right, or to actually reason with one another?’ Hugo states that we discuss to persuade others and to judge arguments. By listening to what others have to say, we can evaluate our own thoughts and get to know if we or Continue reading How and Why We Reason Hugo Mercier (2015)
Knowledge Management helps us organise and share information, but it cannot do the thinking for us. Knowledge only comes alive when people talk, question, and reason together. By practising Conversational Leadership, we build on Knowledge Management and actively engage our collective intelligence. | David Gurteen Continue reading Knowledge Management Is Not Enough David Gurteen
Reasoning is usually treated as a tool for forming sound beliefs and decisions. Yet research on cognitive bias suggests our individual reasoning is often unreliable and shaped by hidden distortions. Social reasoning offers an alternative: we think better together, testing ideas through dialogue and shared critique rather than alone. Continue reading The Argumentative Theory of Human Reason We did not evolve to reason individually but to reason socially
We often see those with different beliefs as adversaries, which limits our ability to recognize the potential for friendship and understanding. Conversational Leadership encourages open dialogue across diverse perspectives, helping us build empathy and shared insights to navigate our complex world together. Continue reading We Are Not Enemies but Friends Finding understanding by conversing with those who think differently
The wisdom of crowds is the concept that large groups of people are collectively smarter than individuals regarding problem-solving, decision-making, and predicting. However, the method can be improved with the wisdom of crowds of crowds. Continue reading Wisdom of Crowds of Crowds Crowds within a crowd outperform ‘wisdom of the crowd’
